Anthony leads Nuggets past Sixers

Basketball Betting Lines

02/18/2009 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Carmelo Anthony had 26 points and 14 rebounds as the Denver Nuggets continued a successful run on the road with a 101-89 victory over the Philadelphia 76ers at the Wachovia Center.

Chauncey Billups scored 17 of his 22 points in a pivotal third quarter while Nene had 17 for the game to go along with seven boards in the win for Denver, which improved to 5-1 on an eight-game trek dating back to February 4.

Kenyon Martin chipped in 11 points for the Nuggets, who will also visit Chicago and Milwaukee on the swing and moved to 17-11 on the road this season.

Andre Miller paced Philadelphia with 17 points but left in the third quarter with a right calf strain and did not return. He is scheduled for an MRI on Thursday.

Lou Williams contributed 15 points off the bench while Thaddeus Young and Samuel Dalembert each had 12 points in the loss, the Sixers' second in a row following a four-game win streak.

Andre Iguodala was just 1-of-6 from the field for 10 points in 27-plus minutes and fouled out for the first time this season.

Philadelphia jumped out to a 25-13 lead after 12 minutes and stretched the advantage to 16 early in the second on a fastbreak deuce by Iguodala before Denver cut the deficit to 10 at halftime, 47-37.

However, a 24-4 run that spanned the opening seven-plus minutes of the second half allowed for a 20-point swing as the Nuggets surged ahead 61-51. Billups scored 13 over the run with a pair of long-range field goals and finished the frame with 17 points but the Sixers were able to trim the lead to three, 71-68, with a late 10-4 spurt.

Philadelphia, though, endured another paltry stretch to open the fourth, going four-plus minutes without a field goal as Denver built up an 83-70 lead. The Nuggets' lead was 10 at the five-minute mark as the Sixers' leading scorer in Iguodala fouled out and Martin hit both of his free throws.

Denver went on to control the game from there as the Sixers rolled over with just two field goals in the fourth before chucking up a host of three-pointers over an already-decided final two minutes.

Game Notes

Denver defeated Philadelphia, 105-101, on December 26 this season at the Pepsi Center and has won five of the last seven meetings...The Sixers, who recently went 5-2 on a seven-game homestand before visiting Indiana, had won four straight in Philly and fell to 17-12 as the host this season.

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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting

So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.

Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?

If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)

Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).

In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.

Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.

The Bubble Breakdown
CONFERENCE LOCKS SHOULD BE INS AT-LARGES TAKEN
(assuming no auto bid outlier)
ACC Betting Odds 6 0 5
Big East Betting Odds 5 0 4
Big Ten Betting Odds 2 2 3
Big 12 Betting Odds 3 0 2
Pac-10 Betting Odds 5 1 5
SEC Betting Odds 4 0 3
MVC Betting Odds 1 1 1
MWC Betting Odds 2 1 2
TOTAL 28 5 25

As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.

(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)

If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.

Atlantic Coast Conference

Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech

The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.

 

Work left to do:

Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.

Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).

Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.

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